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Pacific Northwest Salmon:

The Smolts Migration Model 

Courtesy of Dr. Andrew Ford

WSU Program in Environmental Science and Regional Planning



Male Salmon
Female Salmon

The Chinook Salmon, Freshwater Phase.
The top fish is a male; the bottom fish a female.


Background

This web page demonstrates how simulation might be used in fishery management. Fisheries have declined in the Pacific Northwest and around the world. You will learn how previous simulation models have been used to help managers deal with the many factors contributing to the decline. The model includes an interactive exercise to place you in the role of fishery manager .

The declining salmon runs on the Snake and Columbia river system is one of the most serious environmental problems in the Pacific Northwest. The salmon have disappeared from 40% of their historical breeding ranges despite a public and private investment of more than $1 billion. The annual salmon and steelhead runs have dwindled to 2.5 million, less than a quarter of the run sizes of 100 years ago. This web site provides two models which may be used to simulate parts of the complex and threatened salmon system. The Smolts Migration Model focuses on the spring migration of hatchery smolts to the ocean. It may be used to test the relative merits of barging fish or drawing down the reservoirs to help the smolts reach the ocean.

There are several Northwest planning processes underway for the recovery of fish runs. One of the latest publications is the "Conservation of Columbia Basin Fish," dated July 27, 2000, more commonly called the "All-H Study." The H's are improvements to either Fish Harvest, Hatcheries, Habitat, or the Hydro system for the recovery of fish runs in the Columbia River basin. The executive summary is provided below and links for more information can be found on the Internet at BPA's Environment, Fish and Wildlife web page for the Federal Caucus.

 


Main Menu
(hyperlinks to information and resources)


Background on Salmon Migration *

Extra Background on the Salmon Smolts Migration *

The Smolts Migration Model: Users' Guide *

Executive Summary from the All-H Planning Process (PDF file)

Other Resources:

 * Chapter references are excerpted from "Modeling the Environment: An Introduction to System Dynamics Modeling of Environmental Systems" by Andrew Ford. Copyright © 1999 by Island Press. Posted to this website by permission of Island Press. All rights reserved.


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Content for the STEP curriculum was originally converted to the web in the summer of 2000 by Mike Bull, Bonneville Power Administration, (503) 230-3811.
Page updated August 8, 2001 by BPA Communications, (503) 230-5131.